How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sarpsborg 08 FF, at 57.4%. The other outcomes represent 42.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.5% · Draw: 21.1% · Away win: 57.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Follo 1525; Sarpsborg 08 FF 1919. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NM Cupen · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 14:00
Follo
Elo 1525
vs
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Elo 1919
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-394
Elo rating comparison
Follo1525
Sarpsborg 08 FF1919
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Follo
—Draws
—Sarpsborg 08 FF
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
21%
Away
57%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
19%
Draw
40%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
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Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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