How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Barcelona W, at 73.3%. The other outcomes represent 26.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 15.7% · Draw: 11.1% · Away win: 73.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Roma W 1992; Barcelona W 2410. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Champions League Women · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 16:45
Roma W
Elo 1992
vs
Barcelona W
Elo 2410
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-419
Elo rating comparison
Roma W1992
Barcelona W2410
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Roma W
—Draws
—Barcelona W
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
73% conf.
Home
16%
Draw
11%
Away
73%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
Home
19%
Draw
30%
Away
51%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.