Paris FC W vs Arsenal W

UEFA Champions League Women · Wednesday, 30 Sep 2026 · 16:45

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Arsenal W, at 59.0%. The other outcomes represent 41.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 22% · Draw: 19% · Away win: 59%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Paris FC W 1904; Arsenal W 2129. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

UEFA Champions League Women · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026 · 16:45
Paris FC W
Elo 1904
vs
Arsenal W
Elo 2129
Home Form (5)
3W 0D 2L
Away Form (5)
4W 0D 1L
Elo Advantage
-225

Elo rating comparison

Paris FC W1904
Arsenal W2129

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Paris FC W
—Draws
—Arsenal W

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
59% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
19%
Away
59%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
23%
Draw
36%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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