How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mogren, at 51.6%. The other outcomes represent 48.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.6% · Draw: 23.4% · Away win: 25%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mogren 1457; Lovćen 1405. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 13:00
Mogren
Elo 1457
vs
Lovćen
Elo 1405
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+52
Elo rating comparison
Mogren1457
Lovćen1405
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Mogren
—Draws
—Lovćen
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
36%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.