How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Umeå FC Akademi, at 64.4%. The other outcomes represent 35.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.4% · Draw: 19.9% · Away win: 15.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Umeå FC Akademi 1393; IFK Umeå 1253. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 2 - Norrland · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 17:00
Umeå FC Akademi
Elo 1393
vs
IFK Umeå
Elo 1253
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+140
H2H (10)
6H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Umeå FC Akademi1393
IFK Umeå1253
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
6Umeå FC Akademi
4Draws
0IFK Umeå
10 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
Home
64%
Draw
20%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
Home
52%
Draw
32%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.