How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fluminense U17, at 64.1%. The other outcomes represent 35.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 18.6% · Draw: 17.3% · Away win: 64.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bahia U17 1418; Fluminense U17 1645. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Brasileiro U17 · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 18:00
Bahia U17
Elo 1418
vs
Fluminense U17
Elo 1645
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-227
Elo rating comparison
Bahia U171418
Fluminense U171645
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Bahia U17
—Draws
—Fluminense U17
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
Home
19%
Draw
17%
Away
64%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
20%
Draw
38%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.