How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Wellen, at 37.6%. The other outcomes represent 62.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.6% · Draw: 28.5% · Away win: 34%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Wellen 1559; Racing Mechelen 1569. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second Amateur Division - VFV B · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 18:00
Wellen
Elo 1559
vs
Racing Mechelen
Elo 1569
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-10
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Wellen1559
Racing Mechelen1569
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Wellen
0Draws
0Racing Mechelen
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
28%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
41%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.