How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Belgrano Córdoba Res., at 46.9%. The other outcomes represent 53.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 26.6% · Draw: 26.5% · Away win: 46.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Independiente Riva. Res. 1412; Belgrano Córdoba Res. 1579. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 18:00
Independiente Riva. Res.
Elo 1412
vs
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Elo 1579
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-168
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Independiente Riva. Res.1412
Belgrano Córdoba Res.1579
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Independiente Riva. Res.
0Draws
2Belgrano Córdoba Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
27%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
20%
Draw
43%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.