How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Quilmes 2, at 48.7%. The other outcomes represent 51.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.7% · Draw: 27.2% · Away win: 24%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Quilmes 2 1511; Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 1444. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 18:00
Quilmes 2
Elo 1511
vs
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
Elo 1444
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+68
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Quilmes 21511
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 21444
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Quilmes 2
0Draws
0Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
Home
49%
Draw
27%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
44%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.