How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rosario Central Res., at 45.4%. The other outcomes represent 54.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.4% · Draw: 29.4% · Away win: 25.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Rosario Central Res. 1602; Unión Santa Fe Res. 1554. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 18:00
Rosario Central Res.
Elo 1602
vs
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Elo 1554
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+48
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Rosario Central Res.1602
Unión Santa Fe Res.1554
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Rosario Central Res.
2Draws
0Unión Santa Fe Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
29%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
42%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.