Durham W vs Manchester United W

WSL Cup · Wednesday, 30 Sep 2026 · 18:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Manchester United W, at 72.7%. The other outcomes represent 27.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 13.6% · Draw: 13.7% · Away win: 72.7%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Durham W 1451; Manchester United W 2002. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

WSL Cup · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026 · 18:00
Durham W
Elo 1451
vs
Manchester United W
Elo 2002
Home Form (5)
0W 2D 3L
Away Form (5)
3W 0D 2L
Elo Advantage
-551

Elo rating comparison

Durham W1451
Manchester United W2002

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Durham W
—Draws
—Manchester United W

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
73% conf.
Home
14%
Draw
14%
Away
73%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
91% conf.
Yes
9%
No
91%
Double Chance 1X
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance X2
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
Home
16%
Draw
26%
Away
57%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
Yes
0%
No
100%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.