Eastleigh vs Southend

National League · Wednesday, 30 Sep 2026 · 18:45

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Southend, at 57.0%. The other outcomes represent 43.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 23.9% · Draw: 19.2% · Away win: 57%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Eastleigh 1527; Southend 1798. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

National League · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026 · 18:45
Eastleigh
Elo 1527
vs
Southend
Elo 1798
Home Form (5)
1W 0D 4L
Away Form (5)
4W 1D 0L
Elo Advantage
-271

Elo rating comparison

Eastleigh1527
Southend1798

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Eastleigh
—Draws
—Southend

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
57% conf.
Home
24%
Draw
19%
Away
57%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
33%
Away
47%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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