How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is 9 de Octubre, at 44.3%. The other outcomes represent 55.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.3% · Draw: 28.3% · Away win: 27.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: 9 de Octubre 1594; Atletico FC 1573. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Pro Serie B · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 18:00
9 de Octubre
Elo 1594
vs
Atletico FC
Elo 1573
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+21
H2H (7)
0H
6D
1A
Elo rating comparison
9 de Octubre1594
Atletico FC1573
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
09 de Octubre
6Draws
1Atletico FC
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
28%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
47%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.