How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cumbayá, at 43.6%. The other outcomes represent 56.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.6% · Draw: 32.4% · Away win: 24%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cumbayá 1524; Santo Domingo 1520. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Pro Serie B · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 20:30
Cumbayá
Elo 1524
vs
Santo Domingo
Elo 1520
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+3
H2H (10)
0H
6D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Cumbayá1524
Santo Domingo1520
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Cumbayá
6Draws
4Santo Domingo
10 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
32%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
46%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 3.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.