How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gualaceo SC, at 65.7%. The other outcomes represent 34.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 65.7% · Draw: 23.7% · Away win: 10.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Gualaceo SC 1541; 22 de Julio 1309. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Pro Serie B · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 20:30
Gualaceo SC
Elo 1541
vs
22 de Julio
Elo 1309
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+232
H2H (5)
0H
2D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Gualaceo SC1541
22 de Julio1309
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Gualaceo SC
2Draws
322 de Julio
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
Home
66%
Draw
24%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
Home
49%
Draw
38%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.