How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is LDU Portoviejo, at 66.7%. The other outcomes represent 33.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 66.7% · Draw: 19.6% · Away win: 13.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: LDU Portoviejo 1456; El Nacional 1428. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Pro Serie B · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 20:30
LDU Portoviejo
Elo 1456
vs
El Nacional
Elo 1428
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+29
H2H (8)
8H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
LDU Portoviejo1456
El Nacional1428
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
8LDU Portoviejo
0Draws
0El Nacional
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
Home
67%
Draw
20%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
42%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.