How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is The Strongest, at 36.9%. The other outcomes represent 63.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.7% · Draw: 26.4% · Away win: 36.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Oriente Petrolero 1598; The Strongest 1728. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Copa de la División Profesional · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 00:30
Oriente Petrolero
Elo 1598
vs
The Strongest
Elo 1728
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-130
H2H (7)
0H
0D
7A
Elo rating comparison
Oriente Petrolero1598
The Strongest1728
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Oriente Petrolero
0Draws
7The Strongest
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
Home
37%
Draw
26%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
43%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.