How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FAS, at 56.2%. The other outcomes represent 43.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56.2% · Draw: 20.3% · Away win: 23.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FAS 1791; Isidro Metapán 1604. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera Division · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 01:00
FAS
Elo 1791
vs
Isidro Metapán
Elo 1604
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+187
H2H (4)
1H
1D
2A
Elo rating comparison
FAS1791
Isidro Metapán1604
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1FAS
1Draws
2Isidro Metapán
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
Home
56%
Draw
20%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
42%
Draw
37%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.