How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Masar, at 50.1%. The other outcomes represent 49.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.8% · Draw: 24.1% · Away win: 50.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: El Mansura 1512; Masar 1614. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 12:30
El Mansura
Elo 1512
vs
Masar
Elo 1614
Home Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-102
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
El Mansura1512
Masar1614
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1El Mansura
0Draws
0Masar
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
Home
26%
Draw
24%
Away
50%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
41%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.