How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Pharco, at 56.8%. The other outcomes represent 43.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56.8% · Draw: 24.6% · Away win: 18.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pharco 1578; Tersana 1538. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 12:30
Pharco
Elo 1578
vs
Tersana
Elo 1538
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+40
Elo rating comparison
Pharco1578
Tersana1538
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Pharco
—Draws
—Tersana
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
Home
57%
Draw
25%
Away
19%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
39%
Draw
44%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.