How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hapoel Afula, at 35.3%. The other outcomes represent 64.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.3% · Draw: 32.6% · Away win: 32.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hapoel Afula 1596; Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1599. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Leumit · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 16:00
Hapoel Afula
Elo 1596
vs
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Elo 1599
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-3
Elo rating comparison
Hapoel Afula1596
Hapoel Rishon LeZion1599
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Hapoel Afula
—Draws
—Hapoel Rishon LeZion
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
35% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
33%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
42%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.