How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kiryat Yam SC, at 53.2%. The other outcomes represent 46.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.2% · Draw: 25% · Away win: 21.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kiryat Yam SC 1722; Hapoel Kfar Saba 1595. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Leumit · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 16:00
Kiryat Yam SC
Elo 1722
vs
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Elo 1595
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+127
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Kiryat Yam SC1722
Hapoel Kfar Saba1595
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Kiryat Yam SC
0Draws
0Hapoel Kfar Saba
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
Home
53%
Draw
25%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
35%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.