How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gimnasia Mendoza 2, at 49.6%. The other outcomes represent 50.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 28.1% · Draw: 22.3% · Away win: 49.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Barracas Central Res. 1360; Gimnasia Mendoza 2 1534. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 18:00
Barracas Central Res.
Elo 1360
vs
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Elo 1534
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-174
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Barracas Central Res.1360
Gimnasia Mendoza 21534
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Barracas Central Res.
0Draws
2Gimnasia Mendoza 2
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
22%
Away
50%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
19%
Draw
43%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.