How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Deportivo Riestra Res., at 41.9%. The other outcomes represent 58.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.6% · Draw: 23.5% · Away win: 41.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Colón Res. 1400; Deportivo Riestra Res. 1469. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 18:00
Colón Res.
Elo 1400
vs
Deportivo Riestra Res.
Elo 1469
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-70
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Colón Res.1400
Deportivo Riestra Res.1469
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Colón Res.
2Draws
0Deportivo Riestra Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
24%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
41%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.