How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Vélez Sársfield Res., at 62.7%. The other outcomes represent 37.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.7% · Draw: 22.7% · Away win: 14.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1696; Argentinos Juniors Res. 1546. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 18:00
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Elo 1696
vs
Argentinos Juniors Res.
Elo 1546
Home Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+150
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Vélez Sársfield Res.1696
Argentinos Juniors Res.1546
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Vélez Sársfield Res.
0Draws
0Argentinos Juniors Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
Home
63%
Draw
23%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Double Chance 1X
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
43%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.