How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kosovo, at 46.5%. The other outcomes represent 53.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 28.5% · Draw: 25.1% · Away win: 46.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Israel 1505; Kosovo 1581. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Nations League · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 18:45
Israel
Elo 1505
vs
Kosovo
Elo 1581
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-75
Elo rating comparison
Israel1505
Kosovo1581
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Israel
—Draws
—Kosovo
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
25%
Away
46%
Both Teams to Score
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
90% conf.
Yes
10%
No
90%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
24%
Draw
41%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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