Dominica vs Guyana

CONCACAF Nations League · Thursday, 01 Oct 2026 · 21:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Guyana, at 67.5%. The other outcomes represent 32.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 17.5% · Draw: 14.9% · Away win: 67.5%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Dominica 1304; Guyana 1537. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

CONCACAF Nations League · Thursday, Oct 1 2026 · 21:00
Dominica
Elo 1304
vs
Guyana
Elo 1537
Home Form (5)
0W 2D 3L
Away Form (5)
5W 0D 0L
Elo Advantage
-233
H2H (4)
0H 0D 4A

Elo rating comparison

Dominica1304
Guyana1537

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0Dominica
0Draws
4Guyana

4 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
68% conf.
Home
18%
Draw
15%
Away
68%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Clean Sheet
90% conf.
Yes
10%
No
90%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Half-Time Result
58% conf.
Home
15%
Draw
27%
Away
58%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
Yes
3%
No
97%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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