How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Antigua and Barbuda, at 65.3%. The other outcomes represent 34.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 16.3% · Draw: 18.4% · Away win: 65.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Anguilla 1128; Antigua and Barbuda 1289. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CONCACAF Nations League · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 23:00
Anguilla
Elo 1128
vs
Antigua and Barbuda
Elo 1289
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-160
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Anguilla1128
Antigua and Barbuda1289
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Anguilla
0Draws
4Antigua and Barbuda
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
65%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
58% conf.
Home
17%
Draw
25%
Away
58%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.