How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mohammedan Dhaka, at 67.7%. The other outcomes represent 32.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 16.4% · Draw: 15.9% · Away win: 67.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fakirerpool 1349; Mohammedan Dhaka 1729. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 09:00
Fakirerpool
Elo 1349
vs
Mohammedan Dhaka
Elo 1729
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-380
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Fakirerpool1349
Mohammedan Dhaka1729
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Fakirerpool
0Draws
2Mohammedan Dhaka
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
Home
16%
Draw
16%
Away
68%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Clean Sheet
91% conf.
Yes
9%
No
91%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
Home
15%
Draw
28%
Away
57%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.