How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rahmatgonj MFS, at 45.9%. The other outcomes represent 54.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 27.1% · Draw: 26.9% · Away win: 45.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Arambagh 1345; Rahmatgonj MFS 1553. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 09:00
Arambagh
Elo 1345
vs
Rahmatgonj MFS
Elo 1553
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
-208
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Arambagh1345
Rahmatgonj MFS1553
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Arambagh
0Draws
0Rahmatgonj MFS
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
27%
Away
46%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
36%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.