How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Central Stallions, at 55.3%. The other outcomes represent 44.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 24.5% · Draw: 20.2% · Away win: 55.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Erchim 1450; Central Stallions 1660. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 08:00
Erchim
Elo 1450
vs
Central Stallions
Elo 1660
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-211
Elo rating comparison
Erchim1450
Central Stallions1660
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Erchim
—Draws
—Central Stallions
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
Home
24%
Draw
20%
Away
55%
Both Teams to Score
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
34%
Away
45%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.