How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lebanon, at 67.5%. The other outcomes represent 32.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17.8% · Draw: 14.6% · Away win: 67.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Maldives 1267; Lebanon 1520. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 12:00
Maldives
Elo 1267
vs
Lebanon
Elo 1520
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-253
Elo rating comparison
Maldives1267
Lebanon1520
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Maldives
—Draws
—Lebanon
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
Home
18%
Draw
15%
Away
68%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Clean Sheet
90% conf.
Yes
10%
No
90%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance X2
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Half-Time Result
63% conf.
Home
14%
Draw
23%
Away
63%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.