How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is VfB Stuttgart, at 72.3%. The other outcomes represent 27.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 72.3% · Draw: 14.7% · Away win: 13%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: VfB Stuttgart 2144; SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1805. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies Clubs · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 15:30
VfB Stuttgart
Elo 2144
vs
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Elo 1805
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+339
Elo rating comparison
VfB Stuttgart2144
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1805
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—VfB Stuttgart
—Draws
—SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
Home
72%
Draw
15%
Away
13%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
Home
55%
Draw
33%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.