Dominican Republic vs Haiti

CONCACAF Nations League · Friday, 02 Oct 2026 · 00:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Haiti, at 53.2%. The other outcomes represent 46.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 28.4% · Draw: 18.5% · Away win: 53.2%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Dominican Republic 1565; Haiti 1645. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

CONCACAF Nations League · Friday, Oct 2 2026 · 00:00
Dominican Republic
Elo 1565
vs
Haiti
Elo 1645
Home Form (5)
2W 2D 1L
Away Form (5)
2W 0D 3L
Elo Advantage
-80

Elo rating comparison

Dominican Republic1565
Haiti1645

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Dominican Republic
—Draws
—Haiti

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
53% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
18%
Away
53%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
35%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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