How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Seattle Sounders, at 64.3%. The other outcomes represent 35.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.3% · Draw: 16.7% · Away win: 19%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Seattle Sounders 1711; Sporting Kansas City 1499. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Major League Soccer · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 01:30
Seattle Sounders
Elo 1711
vs
Sporting Kansas City
Elo 1499
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+211
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Seattle Sounders1711
Sporting Kansas City1499
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Seattle Sounders
2Draws
0Sporting Kansas City
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
Home
64%
@ 1.45
Draw
17%
@ 4.73
Away
19%
@ 5.44
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
@ 1.45
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
@ 1.13
No
16%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
Home
55%
@ 1.87
Draw
30%
@ 2.73
Away
15%
@ 5.07
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
Yes
80%
@ 1.18
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
60%
@ 1.94
No
40%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
@ 1.09
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
@ 1.34
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
@ 1.89
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.