How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Costa Rica, at 58.4%. The other outcomes represent 41.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 22.3% · Draw: 19.2% · Away win: 58.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nicaragua 1495; Costa Rica 1619. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CONCACAF Nations League · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 02:00
Nicaragua
Elo 1495
vs
Costa Rica
Elo 1619
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
-125
Elo rating comparison
Nicaragua1495
Costa Rica1619
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Nicaragua
—Draws
—Costa Rica
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
19%
Away
58%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
24%
Draw
33%
Away
43%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.