How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is APS Bomet, at 47.2%. The other outcomes represent 52.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.2% · Draw: 27% · Away win: 25.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: APS Bomet 1683; Murang'a SEAL 1625. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FKF Premier League · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 12:00
APS Bomet
Elo 1683
vs
Murang'a SEAL
Elo 1625
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+58
Elo rating comparison
APS Bomet1683
Murang'a SEAL1625
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—APS Bomet
—Draws
—Murang'a SEAL
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
Home
47%
Draw
27%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
46%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.