How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is AFC Leopards, at 41.0%. The other outcomes represent 59.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41% · Draw: 35.8% · Away win: 23.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: AFC Leopards 1746; Homeboyz 1700. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FKF Premier League · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 12:00
AFC Leopards
Elo 1746
vs
Homeboyz
Elo 1700
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+46
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
AFC Leopards1746
Homeboyz1700
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4AFC Leopards
0Draws
0Homeboyz
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
36%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
42%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.