How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Nairobi United, at 43.6%. The other outcomes represent 56.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.6% · Draw: 29.2% · Away win: 27.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nairobi United 1670; Bandari 1660. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FKF Premier League · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 12:00
Nairobi United
Elo 1670
vs
Bandari
Elo 1660
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+10
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Nairobi United1670
Bandari1660
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Nairobi United
2Draws
0Bandari
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
29%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
44%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.