How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Police, at 39.3%. The other outcomes represent 60.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.1% · Draw: 29.7% · Away win: 39.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Shabana 1657; Police 1749. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FKF Premier League · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 12:00
Shabana
Elo 1657
vs
Police
Elo 1749
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Elo Advantage
-92
H2H (8)
0H
4D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Shabana1657
Police1749
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Shabana
4Draws
4Police
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
30%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
26%
Draw
44%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.