How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ulinzi Stars, at 41.9%. The other outcomes represent 58.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.9% · Draw: 30.9% · Away win: 27.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ulinzi Stars 1613; Mathare United 1594. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FKF Premier League · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 12:00
Ulinzi Stars
Elo 1613
vs
Mathare United
Elo 1594
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+19
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Ulinzi Stars1613
Mathare United1594
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Ulinzi Stars
0Draws
0Mathare United
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
Home
42%
Draw
31%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
45%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Over 1.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 3.5 Goals
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.