How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Aerostar Bacau, at 61.1%. The other outcomes represent 38.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.1% · Draw: 23.4% · Away win: 15.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Aerostar Bacau 1458; Paşcani 1412. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 1 · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 12:00
Aerostar Bacau
Elo 1458
vs
Paşcani
Elo 1412
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+46
Elo rating comparison
Aerostar Bacau1458
Paşcani1412
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Aerostar Bacau
—Draws
—Paşcani
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
Home
61%
Draw
23%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
Home
50%
Draw
35%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.