How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Flacăra Moreni, at 68.3%. The other outcomes represent 31.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 15.4% · Draw: 16.3% · Away win: 68.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Râmnicu Sărat 1311; Flacăra Moreni 1688. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 3 · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 12:00
Râmnicu Sărat
Elo 1311
vs
Flacăra Moreni
Elo 1688
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-378
Elo rating comparison
Râmnicu Sărat1311
Flacăra Moreni1688
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Râmnicu Sărat
—Draws
—Flacăra Moreni
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
Home
15%
Draw
16%
Away
68%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
90% conf.
Yes
10%
No
90%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Half-Time Result
65% conf.
Home
15%
Draw
21%
Away
65%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.