How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Portul Constanta, at 62.1%. The other outcomes represent 37.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17.6% · Draw: 20.2% · Away win: 62.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Oţelul II 1230; Portul Constanta 1480. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 4 · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 12:00
FC Oţelul II
Elo 1230
vs
Portul Constanta
Elo 1480
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
-249
Elo rating comparison
FC Oţelul II1230
Portul Constanta1480
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—FC Oţelul II
—Draws
—Portul Constanta
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
90% conf.
Yes
10%
No
90%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
23%
Draw
31%
Away
46%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.