How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Progresul Spartac, at 54.2%. The other outcomes represent 45.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 24.7% · Draw: 21% · Away win: 54.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Axi Adunații-Copăceni 1356; Progresul Spartac 1556. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 5 · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 12:00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
Elo 1356
vs
Progresul Spartac
Elo 1556
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
-200
H2H (5)
2H
0D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Axi Adunații-Copăceni1356
Progresul Spartac1556
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Axi Adunații-Copăceni
0Draws
3Progresul Spartac
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
21%
Away
54%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
33%
Away
46%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.