How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cetatea, at 46.6%. The other outcomes represent 53.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.6% · Draw: 20.2% · Away win: 33.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cetatea 1591; LPS HD Clinceni 1552. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 5 · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 14:00
Cetatea
Elo 1591
vs
LPS HD Clinceni
Elo 1552
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
+39
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Cetatea1591
LPS HD Clinceni1552
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Cetatea
0Draws
0LPS HD Clinceni
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
Home
47%
Draw
20%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
39%
Draw
36%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.