How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Unirea Bascov, at 37.2%. The other outcomes represent 62.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.2% · Draw: 26.9% · Away win: 35.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Unirea Bascov 1543; Jiul Petroşani 1611. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 6 · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 12:00
Unirea Bascov
Elo 1543
vs
Jiul Petroşani
Elo 1611
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-68
Elo rating comparison
Unirea Bascov1543
Jiul Petroşani1611
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Unirea Bascov
—Draws
—Jiul Petroşani
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
Home
37%
Draw
27%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
41%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.