How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Metalurgistul Cugir, at 47.2%. The other outcomes represent 52.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29% · Draw: 23.8% · Away win: 47.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Poli Timisoara 2 1457; Metalurgistul Cugir 1532. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 7 · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 12:00
Poli Timisoara 2
Elo 1457
vs
Metalurgistul Cugir
Elo 1532
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
-75
Elo rating comparison
Poli Timisoara 21457
Metalurgistul Cugir1532
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Poli Timisoara 2
—Draws
—Metalurgistul Cugir
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
24%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
33%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.