How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sighetu Marmaţiei, at 41.2%. The other outcomes represent 58.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.9% · Draw: 25.8% · Away win: 41.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Academica Recea 1476; Sighetu Marmaţiei 1594. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 8 · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 12:00
Academica Recea
Elo 1476
vs
Sighetu Marmaţiei
Elo 1594
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-119
Elo rating comparison
Academica Recea1476
Sighetu Marmaţiei1594
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Academica Recea
—Draws
—Sighetu Marmaţiei
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
26%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
37%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.