How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Minaur Baia Mare, at 36.4%. The other outcomes represent 63.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.5% · Draw: 31% · Away win: 36.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sânmartin 1580; Minaur Baia Mare 1727. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 8 · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 12:00
Sânmartin
Elo 1580
vs
Minaur Baia Mare
Elo 1727
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-147
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Sânmartin1580
Minaur Baia Mare1727
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sânmartin
0Draws
2Minaur Baia Mare
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
36% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
31%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
24%
Draw
41%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.